Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.505366 4.106843 4.799153 5.659221 6.704914 7.942475 9.528952
2025-01-19 2.551516 3.284002 4.226396 5.545114 7.370629 9.850280 13.546150
2025-01-26 2.221845 3.046650 4.191725 5.934121 8.584407 12.576473 19.268888
2025-02-02 1.960303 2.824363 4.098263 6.172387 9.582694 15.190373 25.610334
2025-02-09 1.777261 2.671064 4.058840 6.456538 10.683279 18.214257 33.632043
2025-02-16 1.595142 2.483360 3.923887 6.542274 11.446451 20.829902 41.814302
2025-02-23 1.453363 2.335358 3.823268 6.656548 12.271285 23.765675 51.775763
2025-03-02 1.308457 2.159684 3.644790 6.588702 12.718451 26.046707 61.172303
2025-03-09 1.213387 2.056242 3.576409 6.713318 13.580373 29.467440 74.935914
2025-03-16 1.108185 1.920461 3.427629 6.647406 14.011203 32.011914 87.532171
2025-03-23 1.022401 1.809627 3.310160 6.623986 14.531189 34.935509 102.778239
2025-03-30 0.938785 1.692999 3.165440 6.515583 14.822955 37.354347 117.740865
2025-04-06 0.875138 1.618416 3.117229 6.668957 15.957063 42.972582 149.637781
2025-04-13 0.790268 1.493448 2.951686 6.532477 16.348556 46.759214 178.658434
2025-04-20 0.764101 1.483817 3.030139 7.003997 18.584350 57.582517 249.843735
2025-04-27 0.726562 1.444649 3.035957 7.293378 20.400415 68.051339 333.349118
2025-05-04 0.695877 1.415823 3.060331 7.638966 22.534453 81.109837 452.151772
2025-05-11 0.654057 1.356564 3.002629 7.743342 23.916229 92.051696 577.279406
2025-05-18 0.618292 1.306546 2.959785 7.882529 25.491001 105.053097 745.745771
2025-05-25 0.575405 1.234706 2.851197 7.799881 26.221170 114.597665 907.882844
2025-06-01 0.547277 1.194722 2.819243 7.951706 27.952765 130.872763 1184.044693
2025-06-08 0.512033 1.133398 2.721918 7.871391 28.712061 142.449665 1446.384929
2025-06-15 0.482124 1.082030 2.644624 7.842860 29.705222 156.490317 1797.029265